The profits of doom*
Hot on the heels of the Hurricane Helene which flattened large tracts of North Carolina, and the devastating floods in Spain, the death toll from which has exceeded 200 people, the CSIRO last week released its State of the Climate Report for 2024.
The report, compiled from global and Australian data and placed within a 100-year context to determine trends and outcomes, provides an outlook for our short to medium term expectations. And these expectations paint a worrisome picture.
While globally, the hottest year on record was 2023, thanks to back-to-back La Niña systems since the Black Summer, our hottest year was 2019.
“Extreme fire weather is increasing. Sea levels are rising. Marine heatwaves are becoming more intense and frequent. And oceans are getting more acidic. All of these come with serious consequences for Australia’s environment and communities.”
It’s not like this is a revelation. We’ve known about climate change, its causes and effects, for decades. In 1987 a conference was held at Monash University with 260 of the world’s eminent climate scientists. The findings of the conference were published by the CSIRO the following year in a volume entitled Greenhouse: planning for climate change. It set out a likely timeframe for climate change based on data available at that time, and action that the government and business sectors could take to mitigate and potentially reverse the warming trend.
That was almost 40 years ago.
Since then the timeframe has been radically shortened and we’re already
seeing firsthand the effects of what could have been averted if the
warnings had been acted upon when scientists sounded the warnings.
The first United Nations Conference of the Parties on Climate Change (COP1) was held in Berlin in 1995. We’re now up to COP29, which will be held in Baku, Azerbaijan, this month. The hot air generated by these conferences would be enough to increase the climate on its own. In 2015, COP21 reached what is known as the Paris Agreement. This treaty, negotiated by 196 nations, aims to keep the rise in global surface temperature to well below 2 °C (3.6 °F) above pre-industrial levels and states that preferably the limit of the increase should only be 1.5 °C. According to the CSIRO, however, this is highly unlikely to happen.
Why, despite all the talkfests, all the science stacking up, all the physical indicators that the climate is at tipping point, have those in control of the politico-economic levers not met targets and show no sign of doing so? Because there’s no profit in averting disaster. There is, on the other hand, a lot of profit to be made in cleaning up after disaster.
The profits of doom are a booming industry.
The way our economic system works, every time goods and services are exchanged, the economic indicators increase. So a disaster such as the Lismore flood or the 2019-20 bushfires, generate profit through clean-up, rebuilding, emergency services, insurance claims and so on. Even while people and communities suffer, big business and the economy benefit. If the economy is benefiting, the government benefits because we have become conditioned to believe in an abstract notion of 'economy' which doesn't include us.
How much are we willing to sacrifice in order to continue to support an economic system that is destroying us? How much longer will we support a political system that mouths the platitudes of climate change while acting for those who are reaping the big bucks from climate-generated disasters? Are your grandchildren’s lives and livelihoods worth the risk?
*First published as the editorial in Braidwood's Changing Times, Wednesday 6 November 2024
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